Democrats flipped North Carolina’s U.S. Senate seat and held Georgia and New Hampshire, according to Associated Press race calls on November 3. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico led Republican Ken Paxton in partial returns as counting continued. Associated Press Senate results

James Talarico speaking at a Texas Capitol press conference on January 13, 2025. Archive photo by Antonioaesparza via Wikimedia Commons, cropped and paired with Taken Social’s Election Results graphic. CC BY-SA 4.0.

Three Senate races the AP has called

Former Gov. Roy Cooper defeated Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina, giving Democrats a pickup. In Georgia, Sen. Jon Ossoff defeated Rep. Mike Collins to win reelection. In New Hampshire, Rep. Chris Pappas defeated former Sen. John Sununu and will succeed retiring Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Georgia and New Hampshire were already held by Democrats, so the three victories represent one net gain. AP’s national Senate coverage

Talarico leads in partial Texas returns

In Texas’s 8:19 p.m. Central update on November 3, Talarico had 1,362,687 votes to Paxton’s 1,101,912, a lead of 260,775. The state listed 5% of polling locations reporting. The race remained too early to call at that stage. Texas Secretary of State’s unofficial returns

Paxton led the state’s earlier 7:57 p.m. Central update by 50,492 votes. The change in the margin shows how quickly early totals can move when new batches arrive. The state’s percentage of polling locations reporting measures sites, while the number of ballots in each batch can vary substantially. Follow the Texas count

Taken Social’s pre-election model put Talarico’s chances at about 70%, based on public polling. CNN and SSRS had Talarico at 49% to Paxton’s 43% among likely voters in late October. Read the full analysis for the county patterns that matter as the race develops. CNN’s polling transcript · Taken Social’s Texas Senate analysis